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Michigan’s net-zero dream would raise electric rates, decrease reliability

‘Tons of pain for essentially no gain,’ former MIT professor says

Michigan’s official policy as laid out in the MI Healthy Climate plan calls for the people, businesses and government operations to produce net-zero carbon emissions by 2050. A new report, however, projects that the plan could lead to more expensive but less reliable electricity service.

The plan aims to “avert the worst impacts of the climate crisis” by reducing the amount of carbon dioxide released through generating power. Residential uses account for 28% of Michigan’s total energy consumption, followed by the transportation (26%), industrial (25%), and commercial sectors (21%).

“The real and costly impacts of the climate crisis are irrefutable and that was especially obvious on the ground in Michigan during 2021,” the state’s climate plan said. “Severe, climate-induced weather events over the summer caused more than one million Michiganders to lose power, some for a week or more.”

But net-zero policies, which state documents refer to as “carbon neutrality,” could cause blackouts and threaten energy reliability in the Great Lakes region, a new report from the Mackinac Center for Public Policy said. The report analyzed the electricity plans of seven Great Lakes states, including Michigan.

“Aggressive net-zero energy policies pose serious risks to the reliability of our energy grid,” said Joshua Antonini, co-author of the study. "If we continue down this path, we should expect shortages and blackouts.”

The state climate plan calls for using solar and wind turbine technology to generate an increasingly large share of the electricity people use. Both technologies are unreliable, the report said.

Michigan’s climate plan suggests building charging infrastructure for up to 2 million EVs by 2030 to reduce fossil fuel reliance.

About 50,000 EVs are registered statewide, according to the Michigan climate plan. But getting to the 2 million goal requires that state residents trade in some of the 6.6 million gas and diesel-powered vehicles they’re currently driving.

A net-zero approach will not end well, say two professors who have long studied the effects that carbon dioxide has on heat in the atmosphere.

”Net-zero regulations and subsidies will have disastrous effects,” Richard Lindzen, a retired professor of atmospheric sciences at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, wrote in a July 2024 statement, along with William Happer, a retired professor of physics at Princeton University.

Net-zero policies will mean eliminating gasoline- and diesel-fueled engines, along with cooking stoves and space heaters, they wrote. Such policies also will mean doing away with the feedstocks of fertilizers that help half the world get food, the two added.

The two also wrote that the threat of increased carbon dioxide is overstated. As the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere increases, they said, its effect on temperatures will go down. ”More CO2 does no harm,” the two wrote before saying it will bring benefits, including more food for people.

“In short, we’re dealing with tons of pain for essentially no gain,” Lindzen told Michigan Capitol Confidential in an email. ”Frankly, this should come as no surprise. This was always a political movement. Science was just an excuse. Trillions will be spent and the recipients will be happy to share a few percent with the politicians. Both assume the public will never check and, so far, they’ve been right.”

Michigan Capitol Confidential is the news source produced by the Mackinac Center for Public Policy. Michigan Capitol Confidential reports with a free-market news perspective.

News Story

Michigan senators hold hearings on 9 stranded bills

Democrats seek court order forcing Republican House to forward legislation Democratic House failed to send to Whitmer

Democrats who control the Michigan Senate held a Jan. 29 hearing on how the nine bills stranded from the last session would have affected residents had they been signed into law. The senators followed this discussion by filing suit against the Michigan House, which is now controlled by Republicans.

House bills 4665, 4666, and 4667 were sponsored by Reps. Will Snyder, D-Muskegon, Amos O’Neal, D-Saginaw, and Jenn Hill, D-Marquette, respectively. The bills would allow corrections officers to join the Michigan State Police retirement system. Senators want the House to deliver these and six other items from the legally closed session to Gov. Gretchen Whitmer for her signature.

The nine pieces of legislation remain in limbo due to the failure of the previous state House to forward them to the governor after the bills were passed in December. The motives for and methods of that failure remain unknown. That legislative season is now over, but Democrats in Lansing are pushing for the new Republican House majority to resurrect and forward these bills.

The committee also heard testimony on HB 6058. The bill would have required state departments and local governments to pay more for employees’ health insurance.

The public employer would have to choose between paying an inflation-adjusted capped contribution or at least 80% of the cost of a medical benefit plan, according to a House Fiscal Agency analysis. Based on current public health plans, the analysis said, every increase of one percentage point in contribution rates for public employers adds $5 million to $7 million in annual costs to taxpayers.

Three of the nine stranded bills — HB 4177, 5817, and HB 5818 — would have benefitted the Charles H. Wright Museum of African American History as well as the Detroit Historical Society. They would have created a new governmental body that could request more financial support from Michigan's public treasury.

A House Fiscal analysis reports that the authority could ask Detroit voters to raise tax rates in the Motor City by up to 0.2 mills for up to 10 years. This money is intended to help cover operating and repair costs of the facilities.

The two organizations have received a combined sum of approximately $18 million from the state since 2022.

Under another bill, debt collectors would be prohibited from garnishing public assistance payments.

House Bill 4901, sponsored by Brenda Carter, D-Pontiac, excludes from garnishment income received from unemployment insurance, disability payments, workers’ compensation benefits or federal and state-earned income tax credits.

House Democrats did not send the bills to the governor’s office when they controlled the chamber in December. New House Speaker Matt Hall, R-Richland Township, has not sent the bills but is “carrying out a thorough, comprehensive legal review of an entirely unprecedented situation to ensure the House acts constitutionally,” according to an official statement.

It’s unclear why the previous House under then-Speaker Joe Tate, D-Detroit, did not send the nine bills to the governor. No elected officials or state employees have agreed to speak on the record to Michigan Capitol Confidential about this situation.

“It is either incompetence or intentional,” Patrick Wright, vice president of legal affairs at the Mackinac Center for Public Policy, told Michigan Capitol Confidential. “It is highly unlikely that the House clerk forgot how to process bills.”

Wright cautioned against speculation but allowed that the suppression of the bills could have been a deliberate choice.

The Democratic-controlled Senate filed a lawsuit Feb 3 in the Court of Claims, asking the court to order the House to present the nine bills to the governor.

“The Senate may sue,” said Wright, “but the senators shouldn’t blame Speaker Hall — they should be looking at their own party.”

“The Michigan Constitution,” Senate Majority Leader Winnie Brinks said in a news release announcing the lawsuit, “makes it abundantly clear: every bill passed by the Legislature is required to be presented to the governor — and no one — especially an elected public servant in legislative leadership — is above the law. Republican Speaker Matt Hall’s gamesmanship is not just disrespectful to the sanctity of our constitution — it’s an outright disservice to the residents of Michigan, the very people he was elected to represent. We will not let the constitution go ignored, and I want hardworking Michiganders to know that we’re in their corner.”

While the Senate Democratic lawmakers would like to approve the bill extending police pensions to corrections officers, a Mackinac Center analyst thinks it is a bad idea.

“When more people earn pension benefits in an already underfunded system, as legislators approved last year, this increases the likelihood that public debt will increase,” Fiscal Policy Director James Hohman told CapCon.

Michigan Capitol Confidential is the news source produced by the Mackinac Center for Public Policy. Michigan Capitol Confidential reports with a free-market news perspective.