News Story

Michigan’s largest debt declines

Gov. Whitmer asks to put less into the pension system

One of Michigan’s important sources of public debt has taken a turn for the better. The state’s shortfall in funding for public school employee pension debt is down by roughly $5.2 billion, according to the latest assessment. But that progress is threatened by a new proposal from the Whitmer administration.

Lawmakers promised pension benefits to workers in a state-mandated system for many years, but they did not set aside enough money to pay for what was promised. State pension funds are not like Social Security, where the federal government sets contribution rates and payout policies, then hopes the numbers match up. (They don’t.)

Instead, pension fund managers have flexibility in making contributions to the system. If they make the right estimates, the costs for pensions are as employees are working, as mandated by the state constitution. This ensures that the costs for today’s employment don’t fall on tomorrow’s taxpayers.

State law requires that all public school employees, including community college workers, participate in a state-managed pension system. There are 396,000 people covered by the school system, including 152,000 current employees and 244,000 people collecting pensions. In other words, the population of people covered by the pension system is about as large as that of Washtenaw County, the sixth-largest county in Michigan.

Lawmakers put less than they needed to into this large pension system. They’ve saved $65.9 billion to pay for $95.8 billion worth of pensions, leaving $29.9 billion in debt.

This gap didn’t appear overnight. The pension system has had enough money to pay for pensions in just one of the past 50 years.

The debt is down $5.2 billion from last year’s $35.1 billion. The biggest portion of this drop was due to the state’s experience being more favorable than assumptions, which accounted for $3.5 billion of the decline.

That $29.9 billion is still the state’s largest debt. The state’s bondholders have only lent the state $26.2 billion, in comparison. One irony of pension underfunding is that it has turned public school employees into the state’s largest creditors.

Pension debts are expensive. The state pays for pensions by levying assessments on school districts based on their payroll. The state requires districts to pay the pension system up to 48 cents for every dollar they pay teachers at present.

This is a much larger expense than retirement costs in the rest of the state. Contribution rates for major Michigan private sector employers tend to cost 5%-7% of payroll.

The bulk of the costs are made not to prefund the benefits earned by employees, but to catch up on liabilities. Roughly two-thirds of the 48% contribution rates go to pay down pension debts.

Lawmakers have made progress in preventing themselves from deferring pension costs to future taxpayers. New employees receive 401(k)-style benefits or can opt for a conventional pension where they bear half the risks of underfunding.

Lawmakers also have opted to keep contribution rates up until debts are paid. While improvements like the $5.2 billion decline in pension debts result in lower contribution rates, state law keeps pension contributions up until savings catch up with liabilities.

Gov. Gretchen Whitmer wants this to change. Her executive budget asks lawmakers to reduce pension fund contributions by $670 million in order to spend the money elsewhere. Deferring debt payments would cost taxpayers $1.4 billion in extra interest costs over the expected life of the pension debt, according to the Reason Foundation.

State Sen. Thomas Albert, R-Lowell, opposes the governor’s proposal. “The governor’s plan to raid the MPSERS fund is reckless, and in my opinion, illegal,” he said. “We still have massive debt in the system and aren’t anywhere close to that. Raiding the fund now and reversing the progress we have made could put retirees’ benefits at risk and raise the cost for taxpayers in the long run.”

Whitmer’s proposal should require changes to state law. Legislators have yet to take up bills to put less into the pension system.

The governor’s office did not respond to a request for comment.

Michigan Capitol Confidential is the news source produced by the Mackinac Center for Public Policy. Michigan Capitol Confidential reports with a free-market news perspective.

Analysis

Michigan’s efforts to boost housing are far short of what is needed

Even spending billions of dollars isn’t coming close to meeting demand

The Michigan State Housing Development Authority financed the construction or rehabilitation of 3,143 housing units in 2014. Just nine years later, the state’s housing authority nearly tripled its output, financing 8,944 units. That’s impressive growth, but it’s not enough for what Gov. Gretchen Whitmer promised she would do.

The governor released a statewide housing plan in 2022 with the goal of creating 75,000 affordable housing units in five years. The housing authority would have to replicate in a single year the increase it achieved over nine years and then maintain the new level for another four.

Whitmer has since created another new housing goal. In her 2024 State of the State address, she promised the state housing authority would build 10,000 units at a cost of $140,000 each, or $1.4 billion in taxpayer funds. That's a more realistic and modest goal.

The state housing agency just announced its largest projects to date this calendar year, which aims to create 1,117 units. The state is giving $250 million in tax credits to developers who will rehab or build these units. That’s about $224,000 per unit. At that rate, the housing authority could build 6,300 units with $1.4 billion, well short of the governor’s goal.

The Michigan housing authority spent about $137,000 per unit in 2023, so this latest project may be an aberration. But if it is sign of rising costs, it raises the question of whether the state can afford its plan.

For instance, if the state spent an average of $200,000 per unit on the 55,000 or so that would need to be built to meet the governor’s five-year goal, it would cost $11 billion. The could be spread out over a few years, but it’s hard to imagine the state redirecting or dedicating new revenue to just this one program.

The state housing authority says the state needs at least 190,000 new housing units.

At a Mackinac Center housing event last year, policy experts said Michigan’s main focus should be on loosening up restrictions which limit where and what people should build, largely through zoning rules.

“Housing affordability is getting worse across the country as a whole,” said Emily Hamilton, director of the Urbanity Project at the Mercatus Center. “A problem that used to really be restricted to some of the high-cost coastal parts of the U.S. is now affecting everybody.” Hamilton noted that California and Montana have recently passed statewide zoning reform laws, limiting the multitude of ways that local governments could block development.

Joshua Lunger of the Grand Rapids Chamber of Commerce said that local reform is necessary. “If you make it incredibly confusing to navigate a permitting or regulatory, the small builders and developers are the ones who won’t get through it. It will be just the big guys. ... There’s a benefit to making things more clear, concise and consistent for development.”

Michigan Capitol Confidential is the news source produced by the Mackinac Center for Public Policy. Michigan Capitol Confidential reports with a free-market news perspective.