Michigan is proposing a ban on flavored e-cigarettes that two just-released studies say will lead to more teen cigarette smoking. Advocates say that e-cigarettes are much safer than the traditional combustible version.

A June 2024 working paper published by the National Bureau for Economic Research found evidence that under flavored-nicotine bans, “Young adults decrease their use of the banned flavored e-cigarettes as well as their overall e-cigarette use, by about two percentage points, while increasing cigarette use.”

The paper by Henry Saffer and four other researchers, which hasn’t been peer-reviewed, found the bans do not affect e-cigarette and smoking participation among adults ages 25 and older.

“Our findings suggest that statewide comprehensive flavor bans may have generated an unintended consequence by encouraging substitution towards traditional smoking in some populations,” the paper says.

Saffer and his co-authors cited an online survey of 1,624 adult e-cigarette users subject to nicotine flavor bans in Washington, New Jersey and New York. The survey found that post-ban, 8.1% of e-cigarette users stopped using e-cigarettes, and the share of participants using non-flavored e-cigarettes increased from 5.4% to 25.4%.

The survey found that 45% of e-cigarette users continued to purchase the banned flavors from in-state retailers. Others, however, bought online or on the black market, crossed state lines, or mixed flavors themselves.

The second working paper published by the National Bureau of Economic Research found evidence of “unintended effects” in which people age 18 to 20 substitute cigarettes for flavored nicotine.

After the flavored nicotine bans went into effect, the study found a 34% to 55% increase in the probability that youth smoke menthol cigarettes, cigars, or pipes.

In 2019, Gov. Gretchen Whitmer issued emergency orders to ban flavored nicotine, calling it a public health emergency. A court tossed the orders, and the Michigan Supreme Court declined to reinstate the ban.

Senate bills 649 and 650, sponsored by Democrats Sens. John Cherry, Sam Singh, and Sue Shink, aim to ban all flavored e-cigarettes.

Vaping advocates say using flavored nicotine e-cigarettes is one of the best ways to stop smoking cigarettes, which the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention says cause about 480,000 deaths per year.

Guy Bentley, director of consumer research at the Reason Foundation, says flavored nicotine is a safer alternative to cigarettes.

“We know e-cigarettes are substitutes, not complements, to cigarettes that can improve public health,” Bentley said in a statement. “The harder the government cracks down on safer alternatives to cigarettes, the more people will start or continue to smoke, which research shows is far more bad for your health than vaping.”

Bentley said that any flavored nicotine prohibition would bring a worse public health outcome.

“Flavored e-cigarettes are the most popular alternative to cigarettes. Kids can and must be protected from all nicotine products, but prohibition, more often than not, will result in worse outcomes for public health. It’s time for commonsense approaches to vaping that embrace the positive role it can play in harm reduction efforts.”

Gov. Gretchen Whitmer touted “announced” auto jobs instead of actual jobs created in a press release supporting a new legislative package for more taxpayer-funded corporate handouts.

“Since I took office, we have announced 38,000 new auto jobs and driven unemployment to historic lows,” Whitmer said.

Whitmer has previously announced that auto jobs were being “created” but was accused of misleading the public because announced jobs don’t equate to jobs created. In a 2023 news release, the governor claimed to have “secured” 35,000 auto jobs.

Jobs data show more losses than gains in the auto sector since Whitmer took office. Michigan leaders are often quick to issue press releases about taxpayer-funded jobs that will be coming to Michigan. These jobs usually do not come to fruition.

Since Whitmer became governor, Michigan has lost 2,600 auto jobs, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The rest of the nation has added 61,000 auto jobs. The governor’s recent auto jobs announcement is not the first.

“Since I took office, we have announced over 30,000 good-paying auto jobs including major investments from the Big Three and projects building electric vehicles,” Whitmer said in an October 2022 press release.

This is not an accurate statement, nor was it true at the time Whitmer said it. CapCon reported on the discrepancy in 2022. The Detroit Free Press also criticized the governor’s misleading claims.

When Whitmer was previously questioned about how she determined her job numbers, Clara Hendrickson from the Detroit Free Press reported:

Whitmer spokesperson Bobby Leddy wrote in an email that the jobs figure from the governor is ‘a conservative estimate’ of the jobs auto manufacturers and suppliers have announced since 2019 as part of auto manufacturing expansions supported by the state.

In May, Whitmer claimed she has grown Michigan’s economy since she won her first term in 2018. From 2018-23, Michigan’s population declined by 33,349 people, a 0.3% decrease that is the ninth-worst record in the country. By contrast, the U.S. population increased by 1.9%.

Michigan ranks 49th in job growth since 2020, according to the Michigan Growing Council.