News Story

Economy Threatened By Aging of Michigan's Soo Locks

Congress approved upgrades decades go, has yet to fund them

The Detroit Free Press reported last month that it obtained, via a Freedom of Information Act request, a U.S. Department of Homeland Security report finding that a six-month closure of the Poe Lock in Sault Ste. Marie, Michigan could trigger a nationwide recession. While the report does a good job of highlighting the economic costs of a Poe Lock closure, it notably ignores options like privatization and a user fee system that could provide the necessary funding.

The report, a copy of which we have received from the Free Press, warns of scenarios in which a Poe Lock closure could lead to the loss of $1.1 trillion in gross domestic product and 11 million jobs across the nation. Michigan would be particularly hard hit, with estimates of state unemployment rates spiking to 20 percent and the possibility of North American automobile production halting entirely for up to 10 months.

Approximately 50 percent of the iron ore that is used by American steel mills is shipped through the Poe Lock, which is the only Soo lock large enough to accommodate the 1,000-foot lakers that are vital for transporting the ore. (There are three other smaller Soo locks, but of those only the MacArthur is currently in operation).

To be sure, the report relies on inherently uncertain and potentially contestable assumptions. Regardless, it underscores the importance of a well-functioning, well-funded water infrastructure system. The report points out that Congress authorized the construction of a second Poe-sized lock over 30 years ago but has never appropriated the estimated $580 million needed. The lock itself needs at least $87 million in upgrades, according to the Army Corps of Engineers.

The Corps, which operates the Soo locks, also oversees 192 locks nationwide, most of which were built in the 1930s. The Corps has estimated that it would need $13 billion in additional funding through 2020 to fix the country’s decaying locks. Yet, in this year’s budget proposal, President Obama proposes cutting the Corps budget by $1.4 billion, or 23 percent.

This persistent funding shortfall, coupled with the current gridlock in Washington, D.C. and a federal debt of $19 trillion, paints a grim picture for prospects of a new Poe-sized lock. Luckily, there is another way. Options such as privatization and a user-pays fee system could fund its construction and maintenance. Under a privatized system, a private entity would own and operate the lock and be responsible for funding any needed maintenance and rehabilitation. To recover the cost of its investment, the private entity would charge user fees to vessels that traversed the locks.

If privatization is not politically possible, the Corps itself could be authorized by Congress to charge user fees for lock usage. User fees are appropriate under a beneficiary-pays principle, which recognizes that commercial lakers like the 1,000-foot vessels transporting iron ore through Sault Ste. Marie derive special benefits from the locks beyond those enjoyed by the general public. It is therefore reasonable to expect such lock users to contribute to their maintenance. Best of all, it would provide an immediate source of funding for much-need upgrades, rather than relying on inconsistent and inadequate congressional appropriations.

As the homeland security department notes in its report, time is running out. In fact, it might be too late to expect strategies like privatization and user fees to completely eliminate the economic risk of a Poe Lock closure. The report estimates that the construction of another lock at the Soo would take up to 10 years, and any efforts to rehabilitate the Poe Lock could require it to be shut down for six to 12 months. Even so, user fees are still the quickest and most reliable way to get the funding needed to ensure adequate facilities at the Soo locks and at other lock systems around the country. At the very least, implementing a nationwide system of user fees, or transitioning to a privatized model of locks and dams, could prevent future economic calamities like those that might occur if Poe Lock is suddenly forced to close.

William B. Newman, Jr. is Senior Advisor to HC Project Advisors in Washington, D.C. Jarrett Dieterle is an attorney at Harkins Cunningham LLP in Washington, D.C.

Michigan Capitol Confidential is the news source produced by the Mackinac Center for Public Policy. Michigan Capitol Confidential reports with a free-market news perspective.

Commentary

Reasons to be Optimistic Abound in Michigan Economy

State leads the way out of recession, but work still to do

There is a vast turnover in jobs in Michigan’s economy — more than one out of 20 are added and lost every three months. This means that there’s always someone being left behind during an economic recovery and there’s always someone finding new opportunities in a recession. Yet, the overall direction of the economy still matters and things are going well in Michigan.

In a recent article in Bridge, Ted Roelofs points out that, even though Michigan’s unemployment rate has fallen to a 15-year low, the state still has a relatively high “underemployment” rate and interviews a few people who are employed part-time but would like to find full-time jobs.

However, the share of workers who are part-time for economic reasons has fallen (dropping by 22.6 percent since 2010).

There are other ways of looking at whether people are having an easier or harder time finding work. The Bureau of Labor Statistics tracks six of them. Regardless of which of these you measure, Michigan’s rates are moving in the right direction and doing so at rates that often lead the entire nation. For instance, from 2009 to 2015, Michigan led the nation in its drop in U-1, U-2, U-3, U-4 and U-5 unemployment and is third among the states in dropping its U-6 unemployment.

This is not to say that some people are not struggling — these numbers are never likely to drop to zero — but they are improving and that matters. Michigan has more opportunities for employment for people that are seeking them.

Moreover, there’s other good news going on in Michigan. While there have been complaints about people dropping out of the labor force, this has turned around in recent months. The previous two months of data show a stark and, if continued, record-setting levels of people returning to the labor force in Michigan and finding employment.

What’s somewhat unique about Michigan’s economic recovery is that it’s exclusively driven by full-time employment growth. The number of part-time jobs has actually declined in this economic recovery. That is not necessarily a good thing — a growing economy should have more opportunities for part-time employment as well. But nearly all signs point to a strong economic recovery and continued growth in Michigan and these opportunities should rebound.

Michigan went through a terrible decade in the 2000s. It is also on a robust economic recovery. It may take a while before the state returns to 2000 peaks (though some areas already have). Yet the recovery has meant more people are part the workforce and finding full-time employment in Michigan.

Michigan Capitol Confidential is the news source produced by the Mackinac Center for Public Policy. Michigan Capitol Confidential reports with a free-market news perspective.