News Story

Poll Shows Solid Opposition To Detroit Bailout

State Rep.: 'I am not going to bail out the City of Detroit on the backs of the families and taxpayers of Northern Michigan'

A poll conducted earlier this month revealed that, by a 55-38 percent margin, Republican voters in Michigan oppose Gov. Rick Snyder’s proposal to send $350 million in state funding to help bail Detroit out from its bankruptcy. According to the poll results the proposal is just as unpopular among Independents, who opposed it by a 54-39 percent margin.

Commissioned by the Mackinac Center for Public Policy, the poll was conducted on April 9 by Mitchell Research & Communications. Of the 1,460 respondents surveyed for the poll, 93 percent said they were “definitely” going to vote in November. The poll has a plus or minus 2.56 percent margin of error.

Rep. Greg MacMaster, R-Kewadin, and Rep. Wayne Schmidt, R-Traverse City, are vying against each other in Michigan’s 37th State Senate district Republican primary. Capitol Confidential asked both candidates how they would vote on the extra Detroit money. Both said they would oppose it.

“The voters in the City of Detroit chose the officials who got the City of Detroit into its current situation and it is the City of Detroit that needs to face up to its financial problems,” Rep. Schmidt said. “I am not going to bail out the City of Detroit on the backs of the families and taxpayers of Northern Michigan.”

Rep. MacMaster said he has made no secret of his continuing opposition to any bailout of Detroit.

“I still don't see why Michigan taxpayers should continue to financially help Detroit,” Rep. MacMaster said. “My constituents in Northern Michigan are not in favor of any bailout. I would much rather see the money put towards road repair in the state.”

Under Gov. Snyder’s plan, the state would send $350 million, or $17.5 million a year for 20 years, to Detroit. The governor’s office did not respond with a comment for this article.

Overall, of the 1,460 respondents who participated in the survey 49 percent said they were opposed to the bailout, while 44 percent said they support it.  Of those opposed, 24 percent said they were “strongly opposed” and more than one-third (35 percent) of those identified themselves as Democratic voters or said they lean Democratic.

Of the 44 percent who said they support the bailout, 56 percent identified themselves as Democrat voters.

Those surveyed identified themselves as follows: 38 percent said they were Democratic voters, 36 percent said they were Republican voters and 19 percent said they were Independents. The breakdown of respondents by geographic area was as follows: Detroit, 4 percent; Wayne County other than Detroit, 12 percent; Oakland County, 12 percent, Macomb County, 9 percent; Flint, Saginaw, Bay City and the Thumb area, 12 percent; Monroe, Washtenaw, Ingham and Jackson counties, 19 percent, West Michigan, 22 percent, Northern Michigan/U.P., 11 percent.

Michigan Capitol Confidential is the news source produced by the Mackinac Center for Public Policy. Michigan Capitol Confidential reports with a free-market news perspective.

Commentary

It's All in How You Ask the Question

Three polls on Detroit bailout, three outcomes

The Michigan Legislature is currently debating whether or not to send extra state money to Detroit. There have been three polls taken on this issue with fairly different results.

Lambert, Edwards & Associates/Denno found very high support, depending on how the money will be spent. I cannot find the exact language of how the question was asked, but this was in the press release:

Sixty-one percent of the 600 likely voters polled statewide said they backed Snyder’s proposal to offer the funds so that Detroit pension cuts wouldn’t exceed 34 percent. A quarter of those polled opposed the move, while nearly 14 percent were undecided.

The same LE&A/Denno Research poll asked voters if they would support offering the state funds as part of a deal that would protect the DIA from having to sell any of its art collection. Slightly fewer voters backed that plan, with 53 percent favoring spending the money and 30 percent opposing it. Seventeen percent were undecided.

Marketing Research Group showed 51 percent support, 37 percent opposed by asking:

"Would you support or oppose the State of Michigan using $350 million dollars of tobacco settlement money over the next 20 years to help the City of Detroit meet its pension contract agreements and prevent the city from having to sell any of its Detroit Institute of Arts paintings and artwork collection?”

The Mackinac Center commissioned a poll through Mitchell Research and found 44 percent support to 49 percent opposed. Here’s how the question was asked:

Governor Snyder has proposed, and the Legislature is considering, passing a $350 million partial bailout of Detroit — paid over 20 years — using state money. Do you support or oppose using state money to bail out the City of Detroit?

We believe that to be the easiest and fairest way to ask the question. Tobacco settlement money is completely fungible as state dollars — that is, it can be used for anything. So make no mistake, the money is coming from the state budget.

But the big dispute is whether or not this money is a “bailout.” Well, here is the definition of the word: “An act of giving financial assistance to a failing business or economy to save it from collapse.”

These are the poll results. You decide which is most meaningful.

Michigan Capitol Confidential is the news source produced by the Mackinac Center for Public Policy. Michigan Capitol Confidential reports with a free-market news perspective.