News Story

Despite Environmental Alarmism, Great Lakes Have Not Been Setting Low Water Level Records

Over the past decade, alarmists have repeatedly made claims that the Great Lakes were drying up. However, month after month Great Lakes water levels were higher in the 2000s than low level records set in previous decades.

Humans have only been keeping consistent Great Lakes water level records for 94 years. In 1918 the Army Corps of Engineers began measuring and recording the lake levels on a monthly basis. This is a very short period in terms of natural history.

Yet, with the exception of two summer months on Lake Superior, the monthly measurements of the 2000s didn't even hit new low levels within the 94-years of record keeping.

“In August and September of 2007, Lake Superior set a new record low for those months,” Army Corps Meteorologist Keith Kompoltowicz told Capitol Confidential. “After that there were record rainfalls. The water level went up and it no longer threatened to go below the range.”

Those were the only low level marks set for the Great Lakes in the 2000s (2001-2010).  That's two out of 120 monthly measurements for five lakes – which is 600 monthly reports. Other monthly low level records (58 out of 60) for the 94-year tracking period were set during the previous low level periods, such as occurred during the 1920s, 1930s and 1960s.

According to the U.S. Geological Survey, the Great Lakes have 6 quadrillion gallons of water. That's enough to spread a foot-deep layer across North America, South America and Africa. In addition, the volume of groundwater in the Great Lakes basin surpasses that of Lake Huron.

However, this hasn't prevented some news media accounts from painting an entirely different picture. These “Great Lakes are drying up” stories began appearing shortly after Lake Michigan and Huron entered a low level period in about 1999.  A new batch of “disappearing Great Lakes” articles started popping up again in 2006-2007 when Lake Superior dipped to comparatively low levels.

Some articles claimed the “World's largest lake drying up.” MSNBC reported that the Great Lakes were shrinking as if it were a simple matter of fact. And some even claimed the Great Lakes were disappearing

“You see a lot of statements and different reports,” Kompoltowicz said. “They appear to come from academic types of hypotheses. We're certainly aware that these things are being said and written. But what we always keep our focus on here in terms of trying to forecast is just the next six months.”

Global climate change has often provided the context for alarmist claims of threats to the quantity of water in the Great Lakes. This formed a backdrop for legislation at the state level; including attempts to let government encroach on private property rights.

“It's true that the two upper lakes (Superior and Michigan-Huron) have been at relatively low levels over the past decade,” Kompoltowicz said. “But levels for the lower lakes (St. Clair, Erie and Ontario) haven't been low.”

Kompoltowicz said the lake levels are tracked monthly and compared to monthly levels of previous years because Great Lakes water levels have a seasonal cycle.

“This (spring) is the time of year when we see the highest water levels on the Great Lakes,” Kompoltowicz said. “Typically, we see the levels going down as we get toward late summer and into autumn and winter.”

According to the April Great Lakes water level report from the Army Corps of Engineers, the lowest recorded level for Lake Superior for April was in 1926 and for Lake Michigan and Huron (which geologists consider to be one lake) the April low was in 1964. The lowest April mark for Lake St. Clair was in 1926; the lowest April record for Lake Erie was in 1934 and the lowest April level for Lake Ontario was in 1935.

Here are this month's Great Lakes water level gage readings compared to the long term (1918 to 2011) April averages (in meters).

  • Lake Superior's long term average — 183.26, April 1 — 182.98
  • Lake Michigan/Huron's long term average — 176.39, April 1 — 176.04
  • Lake St. Clair's long term average — 175.04, April 1 — 175.02
  • Lake  Erie's long term average — 174. 22, April 1 — 174.36
  • Lake Ontario's long term average — 74.88, April 1 — 74. 97 

Michigan Capitol Confidential is the news source produced by the Mackinac Center for Public Policy. Michigan Capitol Confidential reports with a free-market news perspective.

Commentary

April 13, 2012, MichiganVotes.org Weekly Roll Call

The House and Senate are in the midst of a two-week break, so rather than votes, this report instead contains several newly introduced bills of interest.

Y = Yes, N = No, X = Not Voting

 

Senate Bill 943: Authorize extra punishment for threats to politicians and judges
Introduced by Sen. Darwin Booher (R), to authorize additional prison time for threats made to state elected officials and judges, over and above the penalties authorized for making a threat to non-politicians or judges. Specifically, the bill would authorize an enhanced sentence of up to an additional year in prison for threats made in relation to an elected official’s official duties. Referred to committee, no further action at this time.

Senate Bill 975: Recognize health care payer and provider exercise of conscience
Introduced by Sen. John Moolenaar (R), to prohibit forcing an individual or employer who purchases health insurance or pays for health care in some other way, or a health care provider or facility, to pay for or provide any service that that violates the payer’s or provider’s conscience. The bill was introduced in response to an Obama administration ruling that Catholic and other religious social service agencies must include coverage for contraception, sterilization and “morning after” pills in any health care benefits they provide to employees. Referred to committee, no further action at this time.

Senate Bill 985: Authorize $900 million state borrowing from insurance companies
Introduced by Sen. Mike Kowall (R), to grant a 10 percent tax break to insurance companies that “pre-pay” future years’ state business tax. In effect, the bill would authorize $900 million in state government borrowing from insurance companies, arranged in the form of a discounted corporate tax prepayment. Referred to committee, no further action at this time.

Senate Bill 998: Recognize in statute that college isn’t for everyone
Introduced by Sen. Howard Walker (R), to add to the state school code: “It is the role of parents and legal guardians and pupils to determine the best postsecondary educational opportunity to fit ... the individual pupil. All postsecondary educational opportunities, including internships, apprenticeships, 2-year degrees, 4-year degrees, and advanced degrees should be considered depending on the career sought by the pupil.” In other words, to explicitly recognize in statute that college is not for everyone. Referred to committee, no further action at this time.

Senate Bill 1015 and House Bill 5471: Give tuition subsidies to all high school grads
Introduced by Sen. Rebekah Warren (D) and Rep. Marcia Hovey-Wright (D), respectively, to give all Michigan high school graduates up to five years of grants covering tuition in a state college or university. Funding would come from repealing $1.8 billion worth of current state tax deductions, exemptions and credits listed on a so-called “tax expenditures” report, which includes both targeted corporate welfare subsidies and tax breaks, and regular deductions and exemptions used by individuals and businesses. Referred to committee, no further action at this time.

Senate Bill 1035 and House Bill 5503: Limit electric utility monopolies (expand competition)
Introduced by Sen. Arlan Meekhof (R) and Rep. Mike Shirkey (R), respectively, to partially roll-back a 2008 law that itself mostly undid an electric utility competition law enacted in 2000. Under the 2008 law, utility companies that until 2000 were regulated monopolies got back most of their regional monopolies, except that alternative producers could provide up to 10 percent of the demand in their region. The bill would gradually raise that cap to 28 percent over three years, plus up to 3 percent more per year thereafter. Referred to committee, no further action at this time.

Senate Bill 909 and House Bill 5309: Create Detroit regional mass transit authority
Introduced by Sen. Tom Casperson (R) and Rep. Jim Townsend (D), respectively, to create a new Detroit area regional transportation authority (previously called DARTA) covering Macomb, Oakland, and Wayne counties, and potentially others. The authority could levy property taxes (special assessments) and higher local vehicle registration taxes with the approval of a majority of all votes cast in a regional election (meaning a particular community could not “opt out”). This is part of Gov. Rick Snyder’s road and transit tax proposal, which also includes a 9.3 cent fuel tax increase. Referred to committee, no further action at this time.

House Bill 5318: Authorize school district FOIA scofflaw lawsuits
Introduced by Rep. Ken Goike (R), to allow a citizen or a prosecutor to sue the local school official responsible for responding to Freedom of Information Act requests if that official fails to respond in a timely manner. A court could order the official to produce the requested records, and the plaintiff would be entitled to recovery of court costs and actual attorney fees. Referred to committee, no further action at this time.

House Bill 5325: Exempt residential repair trades from state licensure mandates
Introduced by Rep. Ray Franz (R), to exempt individuals and contractors who do home and commercial rehabbing, and those in certain building trades, from licensure mandates currently imposed by the state (or ones that have been proposed). Homebuilders would still be subject to licensure, but those who make a living doing specified repair work would not. Individuals who rehab and sell "fixer-uppers" for a profit also would be exempt. Referred to committee, no further action at this time.

House Bill 5347: Exempt road commissions from employee health benefit copay requirements
Introduced by Rep. Peter Pettalia (R), to exempt county road commissions from the new law requiring government and school employees to contribute at least 20 percent toward the cost of their health insurance fringe benefits (with many exceptions). Referred to committee, no further action at this time.

House Bill 5402: Establish “animal abuse registry” background checks
Introduced by Rep. Rashida Tlaib (D, to mandate that animal shelters run background checks on individuals wanting to adopt an animal, using the “animal abuse registry” proposed by a related bill. Referred to committee, no further action at this time.

House Bill 5411: Require utilities provide customer “smart meter” opt-out
Introduced by Rep. Tom McMillin (R), to require electric utilities to allow customers to “opt out” of having “smart meters” installed capable of storing and reporting usage. Referred to committee, no further action at this time.

House Bill 5416: Cap municipal pension board travel expenses and more
Introduced by Rep. John Walsh (R), to cap municipal pension board spending on board members travel and training expenses at $150,000 per year, and $30,000 per board member. The bill also proposes specific pension system transparency and conflict of interest provisions. Referred to committee, no further action at this time.

House Bill 5454: Ban "photo-cop” traffic tickets
Introduced by Rep. Roy Schmidt (D), to prohibit the use of automated, unmanned traffic monitoring devices ("photo-cops") for issuing traffic citations for speeding, violating red lights or stop signs, etc. The devices would be allowed to police overweight trucks. Referred to committee, no further action at this time.

House Bill 5476: Pay part of motorists’ gas expense
Introduced by Rep. George T. Darany (D), to give individuals with annual incomes below $50,000 a per-vehicle fuel subsidy of $100, payable in the form of a “refundable” state income tax credit, and lower subsidies for higher incomes. The bill does not specify which government spending would be cut or taxes raised to provide these subsidies. Referred to committee, no further action at this time.

House Bill 5517: Repeal barber licensure mandate
Introduced by Rep. Tom McMillin (R), to repeal the law that prohibits an individual from earning a living as a barber unless he or she gets a state license that, among other things, requires completing a 2,000-hour course of study at a licensed barber college, paying fees, and meeting other requirements imposed by a board comprised of incumbent barbers who have received political appointments to this board. This and House Bill 5518 would also repeal licensure mandates on barber shops and barber colleges. Referred to committee, no further action at this time.

Interested in a cumulative list of all weekly Roll Call Report Votes for 2012?

 

SOURCE: MichiganVotes.org, a free, nonpartisan website created by the Mackinac Center for Public Policy, providing concise, nonpartisan, plain-English descriptions of every bill and vote in the Michigan House and Senate. Please visit https://www.michiganvotes.org.

Michigan Capitol Confidential is the news source produced by the Mackinac Center for Public Policy. Michigan Capitol Confidential reports with a free-market news perspective.